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Base rate computed from analyst-asserted responds_to: edges in the reverse direction (target-country → issuer-country) for prior issuer-actions on the same target. Modal type + lag percentiles only — not a model output. Treat as a historical anchor for sizing counter-response scenarios, not a forecast in itself.
Correcting amendment published June 21, 2023 (88 FR 40084, FR Doc 2023-13196), effective June 16, 2023. The original final rule (88 FR 38739, FR Doc 2023-12726, published June 14, 2023) named China Aviation Development Harbin Bearing Co., Ltd. in its supplementary information and preamble rationale, but the corresponding regulatory text inserting the entity into Supplement No. 4 to 15 CFR Part 744 was inadvertently omitted. This correcting amendment provides the missing regulatory text and codifies the listing retroactively to June 16, 2023.
Entity identifiers:
- No. 888 Nanjing Road, Hulan District, Harbin (New District Trust Handling Area), China - No. 81, East Wujinnan Road, Xilong Street, Harbin, China - North Side of Traffic Management Office, Linxi County, Xingtai City, Hebei Province, China
AECC Aero Science & Technology Co., Ltd.
License requirement: For all items subject to the EAR. Review policy: presumption of denial.
The End-User Review Committee (ERC) determined the entity was acquiring and attempting to acquire US-origin items contrary to US national security and foreign policy interests under §744.11 of the EAR. Documented activities include:
Precision bearings are critical dual-use components embedded throughout China's military aerospace supply chain: turbofan and turboshaft engine rotating assemblies, missile guidance systems, helicopter gearboxes, and UAV drive trains all rely on high-tolerance bearing sets that AVIC-affiliated manufacturers supply domestically to reduce import dependence. The EL designation closes a residual US-content channel in this supply chain.
US suppliers and re-exporters must apply for a licence that will almost certainly be refused.
beyond the parent-level entity list entries that predate 2023. Future corrections and rule cycles are likely to add further AVIC-affiliated precision-component suppliers.
NSK, Timken) may face increased scrutiny for transactions involving Chinese aerospace customers, even absent an EL designation on the buyer.
who shipped between June 12 and June 16, 2023 — the correction's retroactive effective date is June 16, not June 12 (the original rule's effective date).
procurement chains already targeted under other BIS actions.