Home / Actions / 2026-01-08-canada-cbsa-citt-thermal-paper-rolls-china-antidumping-cvd

[3]Policy ↑ Trade ↓ Market— single typed policy action — the spine's centre of gravity

Canada imposes definitive antidumping and countervailing duties on thermal paper rolls from China

Tariff↓ Restrictive~🇨🇦 CA · CBSA/CITT✎ 2026-08-02

announced 9 Dec 2025

effective 8 Jan 2026

targets 🇨🇳 CN

sectors pulp-and-paper packaging

/ 5

Tariff

Issuer

🇨🇦 CA

Targets

1 jurisdiction

Status

effective 8 Jan 2026 · stage not filed

Sourcing

🟡 regulator 2 primary

🇨🇦 CA issued this tariff measure targeting 1 jurisdiction, touching pulp-and-paper, packaging. It reads as restrictive.

RBI 1quant 4 · $110B📐 282.1% tariff · measured ↗📍 settling

#7most-frequent issuer · 98 of 2682 actions (4%)

🇨🇳 CNtargeted 8× before26 Nov 2025

Most affected — bilateral-trade weighted

🇨🇳 CN$110bn 2-way trade with issuer

🇨🇳 CN$110bn330

Theme momentum

1themes this action belongs to

Western and allied industrial-policy stack

14 filings in 90d

→ steady

On December 9, 2025, the Canada Border Services Agency (CBSA) made final determinations of dumping (margin of 282.1% of export price) and subsidizing (77.0% of export price, or CNY 10,134.87 per metric tonne) with respect to thermal paper rolls originating in or exported from China, classified primarily under HS 4811.90.00.90. On January 8, 2026, the Canadian International Trade Tribunal (CITT) found that the dumped and subsidized imports caused injury to the domestic industry, making the antidumping and countervailing duties definitive. The CBSA received insufficient cooperation from the Chinese government and exporters/producers, so all Chinese exporters are subject to the combined "all others" rate.

Analyst notesShow

Mechanism

The case (CBSA file TPR 2025 IN) was initiated June 12, 2025 following a complaint by three Canadian producers — McDermid Paper Converters Limited (Markham, ON), Media Cash Register Inc. (Saint-Laurent, QC), and Custom Paper Ltd. (Richmond, BC). Provisional duties were imposed from September 10, 2025 pending final determination. On December 9, 2025 the CBSA finalized dumping margins at 282.1% of export price and subsidy amounts at 77.0% of export price (CNY 10,134.87/tonne) for all Chinese exporters, having received insufficient information from the Government of China or individual exporters/producers to calculate company-specific rates. The CITT's January 8, 2026 affirmative injury finding (reasons issued January 23, 2026) converts the provisional duties into definitive antidumping and countervailing duties, collected by the CBSA on subject goods entering Canada.

This is a combined AD/CVD action: GTA logs the antidumping and anti-subsidy components as separate state acts (92120, 92121), but they stem from a single CBSA investigation and CITT injury finding and are filed here as one action.

Downstream implications

Duty rate (282.1% AD + 77.0% CVD, effectively additive) is prohibitive —

functionally closes the Canadian market to Chinese thermal paper roll imports for the life of the order (5-year sunset review cycle standard under Canada's SIMA).

Consistent with the broader pattern of Canadian and G7 trade-remedy actions

against Chinese paper, packaging, and low-value manufactured goods facing domestic-industry injury complaints amid China's export-led overcapacity.

Canadian thermal paper converters/importers will need to source from

non-Chinese suppliers (US, EU, Southeast Asia) or domestic production.

Open questions

Whether China challenges the determination at the WTO or via a NAFTA/CUSMA-adjacent

mechanism (not applicable here, as this is a China-Canada bilateral SIMA case).

Whether affected exporters seek an expiry/sunset review or interim review of

the "all others" rate given the lack of company-specific cooperation.

Sources

Primary: CBSA — Notice of final determination, Thermal Paper Rolls (TPR 2025 IN) · CITT — Tribunal Finds Injury, Thermal Paper Rolls from China

Secondary: Global Trade Alert — state act 92120 (antidumping) · Global Trade Alert — state act 92121 (anti-subsidy)

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Mechanism

Downstream implications

Duty rate (282.1% AD + 77.0% CVD, effectively additive) is prohibitive —

functionally closes the Canadian market to Chinese thermal paper roll imports for the life of the order (5-year sunset review cycle standard under Canada's SIMA).

Consistent with the broader pattern of Canadian and G7 trade-remedy actions

against Chinese paper, packaging, and low-value manufactured goods facing domestic-industry injury complaints amid China's export-led overcapacity.

Canadian thermal paper converters/importers will need to source from

non-Chinese suppliers (US, EU, Southeast Asia) or domestic production.

Open questions

Whether China challenges the determination at the WTO or via a NAFTA/CUSMA-adjacent

mechanism (not applicable here, as this is a China-Canada bilateral SIMA case).

Whether affected exporters seek an expiry/sunset review or interim review of

the "all others" rate given the lack of company-specific cooperation.