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Tebliğ 2026/18 is one of roughly three dozen numbered "İthalatta Gözetim Uygulanmasına İlişkin Tebliğ" notifications (2026/1 through at least 2026/36) that the Ministry of Trade published in the same 4th-mükerrer gazette issue as part of the annual 2026 import-regime overhaul — see 2026-01-01-turkey-decree-10790-import-regime-2026 (the umbrella surveillance-regime + additional-duty decree covering 4,344 product lines) and the sibling notifications 2026-01-30-turkiye-teblig-2026-6-vehicle-suspension-springs-surveillance, 2026-01-30-turkiye-teblig-2026-8-iron-steel-staples-surveillance and 2026-01-30-turkiye-teblig-2026-19-lithium-battery-import-surveillance. This entry files the air-conditioning-specific notification separately because it is a distinct legal instrument with its own GTİP-line targeting and its own Official Gazette citation, and Global Trade Alert independently logs it as a discrete "certainly harmful" intervention.
The measure sets no tariff and no outright ban. Instead it uses the same reference-price-triggered surveillance certificate design as the rest of the 2026 package, but with three separate thresholds across three GTİP lines: other air-conditioning units (8415.10.90.00.19) below a unit customs value of USD 250/unit; other parts (8415.90.00.90.09) below USD 150/unit; and split-system indoor units (8415.90.00.90.12) below USD 100/unit. Imports at or above the relevant threshold clear normally; imports priced below it require a gözetim belgesi, applied for electronically via the Ministry's single-window system or e-Devlet, before the customs declaration is accepted. Certificates are valid six months. The Tebliğ does not override customs valuation rules under Customs Law No. 4458, and does not name a country in its text — GTA identifies China as the principally affected exporter given prevailing trade-flow patterns in low-priced HVAC-unit imports, but the measure is de jure origin-neutral.
Severity 2, quant basis: the three USD/unit reference-price floors are explicit in the primary source, but the product (consumer/commercial air-conditioning equipment and parts) is a fabricated-goods category with no strategic-material dimension — materially narrower in scope and stakes than the lithium-battery sibling notification or the umbrella steel/aluminium decree.
Chinese air-conditioning and split-system-parts exporters to Türkiye face a new pre-clearance certificate requirement below three distinct unit-value reference floors, raising compliance cost on a high-volume consumer/commercial durable-goods category.
Decree 10790 and the vehicle-suspension-spring, iron/steel-staple and lithium-battery Tebliğs, this confirms Türkiye's 2026 import-regime overhaul applied the same reference-price surveillance template across dozens of unrelated GTİP lines simultaneously, from critical battery materials down to consumer HVAC parts — a blanket anti-circumvention exercise rather than a targeted industrial-policy intervention.
historically converts a share of new surveillance lines into formal safeguard or anti-dumping measures within 18-24 months; the narrow, low-strategic-value scope here makes conversion less likely than for the battery or steel/aluminium lines already tracked in the register.
carry comparable strategic weight and warrant separate IPTM filing, versus being adequately captured by the Decree 10790 umbrella entry?
export pricing to Türkiye sit above or below the three USD/unit floors — i.e., how binding is the measure in practice?