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Base rate computed from analyst-asserted responds_to: edges in the reverse direction (target-country → issuer-country) for prior issuer-actions on the same target. Modal type + lag percentiles only — not a model output. Treat as a historical anchor for sizing counter-response scenarios, not a forecast in itself.
The European Commission's Directorate-General for Trade opened Case AD748 on 19 December 2025 after EU producers of benzyl alcohol (an aromatic alcohol used as a solvent, preservative and chemical intermediate, HS/CN 2906 21 00) alleged Chinese exporters were selling below fair value and injuring the EU industry. As is standard EU trade-defence procedure, the Commission first imposed customs registration of Chinese benzyl alcohol imports (Implementing Regulation (EU) 2026/362, 17 February 2026) — a procedural step that does not itself levy a duty but preserves the Commission's ability to apply provisional or definitive duties retroactively to registered imports if warranted. The provisional duty stage followed on 28-29 July 2026, roughly within the 7-8 month statutory window from initiation.
Trade press (MLex) reported the provisional ad-valorem rates fall in a 52.6%-71.2% range across respondent companies, attributing the finding to a Commission determination that Chinese import volumes surged, EU prices were undercut, and the domestic industry suffered sustained losses. This action file does not carry a magnitude: block because the exact implementing regulation number and per-company rate table have not yet been confirmed against a primary EUR-Lex citation (EUR-Lex's WAF blocked automated retrieval of the July 2026 Official Journal issue at filing time) — a follow-up amendment should add the regulation number, rate table, and a magnitude: block once confirmed.
the same late-July 2026 OJ batch) suggests a broader EU trade-defence push against Chinese organic-chemical intermediates alongside the existing titanium dioxide, glass fibre yarn, and biodiesel antidumping actions against China already on the register.
Chinese benzyl alcohol exporters into the EU market, likely shifting EU sourcing toward domestic producers (LANXESS, Vynova) or third-country suppliers.
duty rates for the 28-29 July 2026 provisional measure — needed to populate magnitude: and upgrade severity_basis to quant.
termination) — expected within ~13 months of the 19 December 2025 initiation.