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Base rate computed from analyst-asserted responds_to: edges in the reverse direction (target-country → issuer-country) for prior issuer-actions on the same target. Modal type + lag percentiles only — not a model output. Treat as a historical anchor for sizing counter-response scenarios, not a forecast in itself.
Glyoxylic acid is a bifunctional α-keto acid (IUPAC: 2-oxoacetic acid) that serves as a critical upstream building block for multiple downstream chemical chains:
(cardiovascular active pharmaceutical ingredient), allantoin (wound-healing/cosmetic), and various synthetic vitamin B complex precursors.
China holds dominant global production capacity in glyoxylic acid, led by Hubei Hongyuan and Xinjiang Guolin. The EU's producer base consists of a single, shrinking European manufacturer unable to compete with Chinese prices inflated by state subsidies and overcapacity.
The investigation was initiated on 25 July 2024 following a complaint by the EU producer. Provisional duties (up to 280.3%) were imposed under Regulation (EU) 2025/591 on 24 March 2025. The definitive measure (EU) 2025/1901 was adopted 22 September 2025 under Article 9(4) and Article 10(2) of the Basic AD Regulation (EU) 2016/1036 for a five-year duration.
Duty rate structure:
| Exporter | Definitive AD rate |
|---|---|
| Hubei Hongyuan | 29.2% |
| Xinjiang Guolin | 130.0% |
| Other cooperating Chinese producers | 64.0% |
| All other (non-cooperating) | 210.5% |
The 210.5% residual rate for non-cooperating Chinese producers is among the highest 2025-vintage EU AD rates against a single chemicals input, signaling a high-injury-finding posture by DG Trade against unfair Chinese chemicals pricing.
2025-07-08-eu-chemicals-industry-action-plan-com-2025-530) which explicitly named glyoxylic acid as an in-flight TDI investigation alongside PVC, melamine, ethanolamines, and polyols.
acid; may accelerate supply-chain diversification toward non-Chinese producers or bio-based glyoxylic acid routes.
EUR 305bn EU-China bilateral trade deficit (2024).
spot exporters, effectively channelling remaining EU-bound volumes through the two cooperating Chinese producers (lower rates) or EU/non-CN production.
exclusions or whether the single EU producer can ramp volume to substitute Chinese supply.
downstream) will extend the protective perimeter.