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Base rate computed from analyst-asserted responds_to: edges in the reverse direction (target-country → issuer-country) for prior issuer-actions on the same target. Modal type + lag percentiles only — not a model output. Treat as a historical anchor for sizing counter-response scenarios, not a forecast in itself.
Companion antidumping investigations into the same product (chromium trioxide, HS 2819.10, an industrial chemical used almost exclusively for hard-chrome electroplating and surface finishing) from two unrelated exporters, both initiated from a single September 2025 petition by the sole identified US domestic producer, American Chrome & Chemicals. Commerce's preliminary affirmative LTFV determinations (published 2026-05-22, announced 2026-05-19) set materially different margins by country: India's respondent (Vishnu Chemicals) drew a comparatively modest 14.44% margin (12.00% cash-deposit rate after adjustment), while Türkiye's respondent (Şişe ve Cam Fabrikaları) drew 40.88%. A companion countervailing-duty investigation against India was preliminarily determined affirmative on 2026-05-14 (separate action, not yet filed in this register). Severity is set at 3 — a real but still-preliminary trade-flow constraint (suspension of liquidation, cash-deposit requirement) rather than a standing duty order; that depends on Commerce's final determinations (Türkiye: 2026-08-10; India: 2026-10-07, aligned with the CVD case) and a subsequent USITC injury finding.
deposits at the preliminary rates (12.00% India, 40.88% Türkiye) on covered entries from 2026-05-22 onward pending final determinations.
plating-chemical sourcing toward Indian suppliers within the investigation window, ahead of any final-rate correction.
USITC injury votes on both AD investigations — as with the Russia-palladium precedent (2026-02-19-us-doc-palladium-russia-ad-preliminary), a negative injury finding would mean no duty order issues despite an affirmative dumping finding.
either country's margin from the preliminary rate?
is the US chrome-plating-chemical import volume from India/Türkiye too small to clear the injury threshold (as happened in the palladium-Russia case)?