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Base rate computed from analyst-asserted responds_to: edges in the reverse direction (target-country → issuer-country) for prior issuer-actions on the same target. Modal type + lag percentiles only — not a model output. Treat as a historical anchor for sizing counter-response scenarios, not a forecast in itself.
This is the companion countervailing-duty (subsidy) track to the antidumping case on the same product (see 2026-07-23-us-doc-lysine-china-antidumping-final). Commerce's Enforcement and Compliance unit investigated Chinese government subsidy programs benefiting L-lysine producers — the investigation was initiated in mid-2025 following the same domestic petition that triggered the AD case. The preliminary CVD determination (22 January 2026, case C-570-216) set initial subsidy-rate cash-deposit requirements and suspended liquidation on covered entries; Commerce then aligned the CVD final determination timeline with the parallel AD investigation so both were issued on 23 July 2026.
The 82.11% rate applies to Heilongjiang Wanlirunda Biotechnology and Shouguang Golden-land Industry & Trading; Inner Mongolia Eppen Biotech and all other Chinese exporters/producers not individually examined receive the 48.21% all-others rate. Both rates reflect countervailable subsidy programs (preferential lending, land-use and tax incentives, and other state-support mechanisms typical of Commerce CVD findings on Chinese chemical/biotech exporters) found during Commerce's verification process.
As with the AD case, a formal CVD order is contingent on the US International Trade Commission's parallel material-injury determination; an affirmative finding on either track (AD or CVD) is sufficient to trigger orders, but a fully negative ITC vote on both would terminate both proceedings and refund cash deposits.
increases for Chinese lysine into the US market, reinforcing the sourcing-shift pressure toward Southeast Asian and South Korean producers (CJ CheilJedang, Ajinomoto affiliates) already documented in the AD action.
basis (subsidy-based rather than dumping-based) for the duty exposure, reducing the odds that a favorable outcome on one track (e.g., an AD appeal) fully unwinds the trade barrier.
(i.e., by ~early September 2026) — is affirmative on the CVD track independently of the AD track.
subsidy-rate calculations, as flagged as a live risk in the companion AD action.