China MOFCOM extends anti-dumping investigation deadline on US/Mexico pecan imports to March 2027

Mechanism

MOFCOM initiated this anti-dumping case on September 25, 2025 (Announcement No. 52 of 2025), covering pecans imported from Mexico and the United States. On August 10, 2026 MOFCOM issued a preliminary ruling finding dumping margins of 17.8%–51.6% for named Mexican exporters and, because no US producer responded to the investigation, a residual 54.3% margin applied to all US pecan exporters on a best-information- available basis; these rates have been collected as cash deposits since August 11, 2026.

Announcement No. 38 of 2026 is a purely procedural step: under Article 26 of the PRC Anti-Dumping Regulations, MOFCOM may extend an investigation from twelve to a maximum of eighteen months for complex cases. It pushes the statutory deadline for a final determination from September 25, 2026 to March 25, 2027, without altering the preliminary duty rates or the scope of covered products currently in force as deposits.

Downstream implications

• US and Mexican pecan exporters continue paying cash deposits of up to 54.3% (US)

and 17.8%–51.6% (named Mexican exporters) through at least March 2027, with no near-term resolution.

• China's domestic pecan-growing sector was described by MOFCOM as highly

fragmented, which was itself cited as a rationale for the case's complexity.

• Watch for the final determination around the new March 25, 2027 deadline, which

could confirm, raise, lower, or terminate the duties.

Open questions

• Whether MOFCOM's final ruling will retain, widen, or narrow the preliminary

dumping margins.

• Whether any Mexican or US producers file for individual rate reviews before the

final determination.