home/actions/themes/eu-iran-human-rights-sanctions-perimeter EU Iran human-rights restrictive-measures perimeter — Regulation 359/2011 architecture
The European Union's standing human-rights sanctions regime against Iran, established under Council Regulation (EU) No 359/2011 of 12 April 2011 and renewed annually (most recently extended to April 2027). Covers asset freezes and travel bans on individuals and entities responsible for serious human-rights violations — repression of protests, arbitrary detention, and internet/media censorship — designated via periodic Council Implementing Regulations and Decisions. Distinct from us-iran-maximum-pressure (US Treasury/BIS sanctions targeting Iran's economy, oil exports, and proliferation network, under separate IEEPA/EO authority) — this theme captures the EU-specific, human-rights-anchored legal track, which runs on its own designation cadence independent of the US sanctions stack.
1 actionpeak severity 2· 1 countries targeted· 3 sectors· 1 issuer· avg sev 2.0
Forecast claim
In this theme: 0 response chains detected across 1 issuer→target vector.
Ranked issuer→target vectors · likelihood-sorted
whyno prior responses on record — base rate from sev 2 + sector continuity 0%
Method: Vector L = 0.5·hit-rate + 0.15·min(triggers,5)/5 + 0.20·baseSev/5 + 0.15·sector-Jaccard. Hit-rate is the fraction of theme triggers (X→Y) where the original target Y subsequently issued a register-tracked action that names the trigger in its responds_to: field. Sector-Jaccard measures continuity between trigger and response target_sectors — high values mean prior responses stayed in the same sector lane, suggesting the next riposte will too. This is a backward-looking pattern projected forward; it is not a probabilistic forecast.