home/actions/themes/uk-iran-sanctions-perimeter UK Iran sanctions perimeter — SAMLA Iran (Sanctions) Regulations 2019/2023 architecture
The United Kingdom's standing Iran sanctions regime, made under the Sanctions and Anti-Money Laundering Act 2018 (SAMLA) via the Iran (Sanctions) Regulations 2019 (core trade/financial regime) and Iran (Sanctions) Regulations 2023 (maritime sanctions-evasion regime). Distinct from us-iran-maximum-pressure (US Treasury/BIS, IEEPA authority) and eu-iran-human-rights-sanctions-perimeter (EU Council, Regulation 359/2011, human-rights-anchored) — this theme captures the UK-specific SAMLA legal track, amended periodically to widen financial, trade, aircraft and shipping restrictions.
1 actionpeak severity 4· 1 countries targeted· 6 sectors· 1 issuer· avg sev 4.0
Forecast claim
In this theme: 0 response chains detected across 1 issuer→target vector.
Ranked issuer→target vectors · likelihood-sorted
whyno prior responses on record — base rate from sev 4 + sector continuity 0%
Method: Vector L = 0.5·hit-rate + 0.15·min(triggers,5)/5 + 0.20·baseSev/5 + 0.15·sector-Jaccard. Hit-rate is the fraction of theme triggers (X→Y) where the original target Y subsequently issued a register-tracked action that names the trigger in its responds_to: field. Sector-Jaccard measures continuity between trigger and response target_sectors — high values mean prior responses stayed in the same sector lane, suggesting the next riposte will too. This is a backward-looking pattern projected forward; it is not a probabilistic forecast.