home/actions/themes/ca-iran-sanctions-perimeter Canada Iran sanctions perimeter — Special Economic Measures (Iran) Regulations architecture
Canada's standing Iran sanctions regime, made under the Special Economic Measures Act (SEMA) via the Special Economic Measures (Iran) Regulations (SOR/2010-165) and its periodic amendments. Distinct from us-iran-maximum-pressure (US Treasury/BIS, IEEPA authority), uk-iran-sanctions-perimeter (SAMLA) and eu-iran-human-rights-sanctions-perimeter (Council Regulation 359/2011) — this theme captures the Canada-specific SEMA legal track: dual-use/arms export-import bans and Schedule 1 entity/individual designations tied to Iran's proliferation-sensitive nuclear activities and weapons programme.
1 actionpeak severity 3· 1 countries targeted· 3 sectors· 1 issuer· avg sev 3.0
Forecast claim
In this theme: 0 response chains detected across 1 issuer→target vector.
Ranked issuer→target vectors · likelihood-sorted
whyno prior responses on record — base rate from sev 3 + sector continuity 0%
Method: Vector L = 0.5·hit-rate + 0.15·min(triggers,5)/5 + 0.20·baseSev/5 + 0.15·sector-Jaccard. Hit-rate is the fraction of theme triggers (X→Y) where the original target Y subsequently issued a register-tracked action that names the trigger in its responds_to: field. Sector-Jaccard measures continuity between trigger and response target_sectors — high values mean prior responses stayed in the same sector lane, suggesting the next riposte will too. This is a backward-looking pattern projected forward; it is not a probabilistic forecast.