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Base rate computed from analyst-asserted responds_to: edges in the reverse direction (target-country → issuer-country) for prior issuer-actions on the same target. Modal type + lag percentiles only — not a model output. Treat as a historical anchor for sizing counter-response scenarios, not a forecast in itself.
OFAC designated 21 entities and 17 individuals under Iran counter-proliferation authorities across three distinct procurement networks feeding MODAFL (Iran's Ministry of Defense and Armed Forces Logistics) and its subordinate weapons producers:
Pars, procured accelerometers, gyroscopes and MEMS components for the Aerospace Industries Organization's Shahid Bakeri Industrial Group (solid- fuel missile program) and Shahid Hemmat Space Group.
and China illicitly sourced US-origin dual-use electronics for Shiraz Electronics Industries, which builds radar and missile-guidance equipment for Iranian surface-to-air systems.
Portugal and Uruguay procured equipment — including a US-manufactured helicopter — for PANHA, the IRGC-linked helicopter manufacturer and maintenance provider.
The action follows the 27 September 2025 UN Security Council "snapback" that reimposed pre-JCPOA multilateral sanctions on Iran, and precedes a second OFAC tranche on 12 November 2025 targeting a separate transnational missile/UAV procurement network (filed as 2025-11-12-us-treasury-ofac-iran-missile-uav-procurement-networks). Designation under OFAC's SDN list blocks all US-jurisdiction assets of named parties and bars US persons from transacting with them; secondary-sanctions exposure extends compliance risk to non-US intermediaries in the transit jurisdictions named above.
now carry designation risk for onward shipment of dual-use radar/guidance components to Iran-linked buyers.
Türkiye, Portugal and Uruguay should screen counterparties against this SDN tranche given the demonstrated PANHA sourcing route.
rounds against Iran's missile, air-defense and rotary-wing procurement chains through late 2025 and into 2026.
not broken out in the press release excerpt reviewed; the OFAC SDN list update should be checked for the complete roster and any EU/UK parallel designations.
sourced via re-export diversion (implicating BIS export-control enforcement) or purely OFAC-designation exposure.