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Base rate computed from analyst-asserted responds_to: edges in the reverse direction (target-country → issuer-country) for prior issuer-actions on the same target. Modal type + lag percentiles only — not a model output. Treat as a historical anchor for sizing counter-response scenarios, not a forecast in itself.
This is one of the recurring OFAC "wave" designations that operationalise the petroleum/petrochemical sectoral determination under E.O. 13902 (2024-10-11-us-ofac-iran-petroleum-petrochemical-sector-determination-eo-13902) and the broader NSPM-2 maximum-pressure campaign (2025-02-04-us-nspm-2-iran-maximum-pressure). The 9 October 2025 action adds 33 shadow-fleet vessels and roughly 50 individuals/entities to the SDN list across the full length of Iran's petroleum-export value chain: upstream production/trading (Iran), shipping-registry front companies (Panama, Marshall Islands, Liberia, Ukraine), destination-market importers/refiners/terminal operators (China — including the named Jiangyin Foreversun petrochemical terminal — and a China-based "teapot" refinery), and intermediary trading/logistics hubs (Turkey, Singapore, Hong Kong, UAE, India). Roughly 27 of the ~50 designees are based in Hong Kong, the UAE and India alone, reflecting how much of the sanctions-evasion trading layer for Iranian barrels now sits in South/ East Asian and Gulf intermediary jurisdictions rather than in Iran or China directly.
Designation blocks all property and interests in property of the named parties within US jurisdiction and triggers secondary-sanctions exposure for any non-US financial institution or counterparty that knowingly facilitates significant transactions with them, consistent with the E.O. 13902 sectoral determination this action responds to.
SB0322, SB0341) with a comparatively large single-day batch (33 vessels, ~50 designees) — one of the larger NSPM-2-era waves by vessel count.
jurisdictions for Iranian petroleum re-export/laundering, ahead of the traditional China-direct routes — relevant for downstream FI correspondent-banking due-diligence scoping.
(Jiangyin Foreversun), giving a concrete facility-level node for the China "teapot"-refinery / independent-terminal segment of the Iran sanctions-evasion architecture.
OFAC waves (a recurring evasion pattern already seen in the 2025-12-18 29-vessel Sakr designation)?
sweep of China's independent ("teapot") refining sector, which has otherwise been targeted piecemeal by refinery-specific SDN actions?