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Compound semi substrate maker (GaAs/InP/Ge). Primary mfg at Beijing Tongmei subsidiary — "double bind": MOFCOM controls both Ga/In/Ge inputs AND finished-wafer exports. Cleanest Western-listed expression of the China Ga/Ge/In export-control thesis.
This company sits on the supply side for 3 of its 3 materials — a restriction on those is a tailwind, not a headwind.
As a producer, policy pressure across its produced materials is flat.
Descriptive trend in official policy actions on this company’s materials — a policy-pressure trend, not a price or trading signal. No forward probability is implied. Direction is measured on actions we have discovered, and discovery lags events: where the recent window is too thin to support a calm reading, the row says coverage-limited instead of easing.
🇺🇸 US accounts for 30% of severity-weighted pressure. Regulatory focus shifted from 🇺🇸 US to 🇨🇳 CN in 2026Q3.